Should I ship an LGBTQ+ CRPG?
CRPG + LGBTQ+
Of 21 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ CRPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×2.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $6.1M, ×4110 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,938) |
| Top 25% | $113k (exactly $113,087) |
| Top 5% | $6.2M (exactly $6,157,034) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- CRPG; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action RPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 53,402 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
CRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + TabletopFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + IncrementalLong shot
- + FMVPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds
- + SpacePoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
Comparable games
Baldur's Gate 3 2023 · $1.4B 
Dragon Age™: The Veilguard 2024 · $74M 
Back to the Dawn 2025 · $6.2M 
GreedFall: The Dying World 2026 · $1.5M 
Happy Island Fantasy 2025 · $533k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Baldur's Gate 3 | older | $59.99 | 755,010 96% | 23M | $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) | Larian Studios |
| | Dragon Age™: The Veilguard | $59.99 | 41,393 67% | 1.2M | $74M (exactly $74,494,982) | BioWare | |
| | Back to the Dawn | $23.99 | 8,555 94% | 257k | $6.2M (exactly $6,157,034) | Metal Head Games | |
| | GreedFall: The Dying World | $49.99 | 1,027 61% | 31k | $1.5M (exactly $1,540,192) | Spiders | |
| | Happy Island Fantasy | $14.99 | 1,186 88% | 36k | $533k (exactly $533,344) | HappyCreator | |
 | Mosaique Neko Waifus 3 | older | $4.99 | 1,840 94% | 55k | $275k (exactly $275,448) | Lil Hentai Games |
 | Princess Maker 2 Regeneration | older | $39.99 | 129 58% | 3.9k | $155k (exactly $154,761) | Bliss Brain, Monkey Craft |
 | Only You | $6.99 | 719 94% | 22k | $151k (exactly $150,774) | 忘雪社 | |
 | Magical Diary: Wolf Hall | older | $24.99 | 177 89% | 5.3k | $133k (exactly $132,697) | Hanako Games |
 | Firefighter Connor | older | $8.99 | 440 91% | 13k | $119k (exactly $118,668) | XSSPACE |
 | Latex & Tentacles | $10.99 | 343 67% | 10k | $113k (exactly $113,087) | ZXC, GODNASK | |
 | Maliki : Poison Of The Past | $29.99 | 95 93% | 2.9k | $85k (exactly $85,472) | Blue Banshee | |
 | Magissy | $14.99 | 52 46% | 1.6k | $23k (exactly $23,384) | Bit Fat Games | |
 | The Chronicles of Lancelot 2 - The Adventure to Avalon | $24.99 | 23 52% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | Gayeti | |
 | HALF-BAKED GIRLS | $11.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $3.2k (exactly $3,237) | MISTROLE |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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