Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + LGBTQ+

Only 16 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, GreedFall: The Dying World, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.3k, ×12 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.5M, ×2453 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 27 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $6.7k → $6.5k → $7.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $7.3k (exactly $7,335)
Top 25% $65k (exactly $65,224)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,540,192)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 49
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 2,889 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $7.3k, 1 in 4 over $65k, 1 in 20 over $1.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
XCOM®: Chimera Squad older $9.99 20,602 71% 618k $6.2M (exactly $6,174,419) Firaxis Games
GreedFall: The Dying World $49.99 1,027 61% 31k $1.5M (exactly $1,540,192) Spiders
The Great Villainess: Strategy of Lily $29.99 1,529 85% 46k $1.4M (exactly $1,375,641) Alliance Arts, One or Eight, WSS Playgr… (Alliance Arts, One or Eight, WSS Playground)
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Sunday Gold older $21.99 687 77% 21k $453k (exactly $453,214) BKOM Studios
Bastard Bonds older $10.99 791 88% 24k $261k (exactly $260,793) Bigfingers
Masquerada: Songs and Shadows older $19.99 348 88% 10k $209k (exactly $208,696) Witching Hour Studios
Memoirs of a Battle Brothel older $19.99 207 84% 6.2k $124k (exactly $124,138) A Memory of Eternity
Bravery Network Online · EA older $24.99 133 79% 4.0k $100k (exactly $99,710) GLOAM
Maliki : Poison Of The Past $29.99 95 93% 2.9k $85k (exactly $85,472) Blue Banshee
Gales of Nayeli $24.99 87 88% 2.6k $65k (exactly $65,224) Blindcoco Studios
Cosplay Club $18.99 41 60% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,358) Behold Studios
Netoria Tactics 2 · EA $14.99 21 95% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) Apollo Seven Games
NOMIA $19.99 13 100% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Magnesium Ninja
STARWEAVE $4.99 49 95% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) Studio Starweave
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
Fallen Down · EA $17.99 12 100% 360 $6.5k (exactly $6,476) MERCERNARY MAGE GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.