Do I ship it?

GamesCard BattlerCard Battler + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Card Battler?

Card Battler + LGBTQ+

Only 18 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×17 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×661 the market median. Revenue is up 2880% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 2880% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Battler + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $8.1k → $32k → $108k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Battler + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,095)
Top 25% $108k (exactly $107,557)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $313,891)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 43
Announced 20
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2880% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Card Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Deckbuilding, Strategy
Price point
$12.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Funny, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,696 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  3. + GamblingFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 77 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  5. + ZombiesFair17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  6. + Point & ClickFair25 devs · median $629 · 34 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair35 devs · median $628 · 33 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair43 devs · median $449 · 57 announced
  9. + Party GameFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  10. + SolitaireLong shot77 devs · median $299 · 79 announced
  11. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds33 devs · median $31k · 56 announced
  12. + CRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 28 announced

All 125 pairs on the Card Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight older $16.99 1,370 74% 41k $698k (exactly $698,289) BoRoBoRoGame
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Youtubers Life 3 $19.99 468 50% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) UPLAY Online
神树残响(Echoes of the Divine Tree) $11.99 601 94% 18k $216k (exactly $216,180) Seventeen horns
Battle Suit Aces $19.99 347 90% 10k $208k (exactly $208,096) Trinket Studios
Astatos · EA older $14.99 298 82% 8.9k $134k (exactly $134,011) Studio Klondike Australia
FUTA FUCKS FEMBOYS $12.99 276 88% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) Horny Capybara Studio
Eternal Destiny older $9.99 225 78% 6.8k $67k (exactly $67,432) Office 5656
Furry Cyberfucker older $6.99 273 69% 8.2k $57k (exactly $57,248) Furry Tails
Hyperspace Deck Command $19.99 91 95% 2.7k $55k (exactly $54,573) Sleeper Games
Throne of Monsters 怪物的王座 $12.99 130 92% 3.9k $51k (exactly $50,661) 雏形游戏
Project Skyward $19.99 54 68% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Skyward Foundry
KreatureKind $14.99 18 83% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) Valiant Game Studio
NOMIA $19.99 13 100% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Magnesium Ninja

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.