Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Incremental game?

Incremental + LGBTQ+

Of 51 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×11 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×1249 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 53 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 53 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $12k → $748 → $802 → $7.8k → $807 → $2.5k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $446 (exactly $446)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,492)
Top 5% $149k (exactly $148,574)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 251
Announced 53
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Dating Sim, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 5,287 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 60 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate $14.00 3,275 95% 98k $1.4M (exactly $1,375,500) Xso
1 to 1 humanoid edible toys older $7.99 2,420 92% 73k $580k (exactly $580,074) 汉谟拉比炒面, 我的屁是香哒
Handyman Legend older $6.99 2,066 89% 62k $433k (exactly $433,240) SupaShinKen Studio
Only You $6.99 719 94% 22k $151k (exactly $150,774) 忘雪社
Mystery Lover:Nonexistent Memories $13.99 354 94% 11k $149k (exactly $148,574) Never Knows Best
Gnomes Garden older $14.99 262 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $117,821) Workroom7, Creobit
OnlyFap Simulator 2 💦 older $6.99 367 60% 11k $77k (exactly $76,960) BanzaiProject
Fresh Story older $9.99 238 76% 7.1k $71k (exactly $71,329) WetMelonPlay
Mister Furry older $0.99 1,947 90% 58k $58k (exactly $57,826) Red Six Development
Futanari di Funghi older $6.99 260 83% 7.8k $55k (exactly $54,522) Ahegames
Sex Industry XXX $9.99 160 62% 4.8k $48k (exactly $47,952) Lust Desires 🖤
UncleOffice:uncle Dating Simulator $15.99 92 61% 2.8k $44k (exactly $44,132) GameUncle
Andromeda Six · EA $14.99 95 96% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Wanderlust Games
Maid Harem With Futa $5.99 203 69% 6.1k $36k (exactly $36,479) DuaWolf
Tap 4 Sex $6.99 155 72% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,504) Papalon, DreamBig Games
Risky Business $6.90 146 73% 4.4k $30k (exactly $30,222) Nouliz
Greenhearth Necromancer $10.99 88 96% 2.6k $29k (exactly $29,014) Silverstring Media Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.