Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + LGBTQ+

Only 15 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Don't Stop, Girlypop!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×654 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 11 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $15k → $2.2k → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,455)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,685)
Top 5% $311k (exactly $310,645)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 45
Announced 11
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,244 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair13 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  2. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  4. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  6. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  8. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  10. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  11. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SEX with HITLER older $6.99 3,358 81% 101k $704k (exactly $704,173) Adolf Games
Don't Stop, Girlypop! $19.99 518 83% 16k $311k (exactly $310,645) Funny Fintan Softworks
Shooty Shooty Robot Invasion $9.99 353 93% 11k $106k (exactly $105,794) Bubby Darkstar
Princess Remedy 2: In A Heap of Trouble older $9.99 352 96% 11k $105k (exactly $105,494) Ludosity
Super Crush KO older $14.99 211 96% 6.3k $95k (exactly $94,887) Vertex Pop
Yuri Sword Saga $10.99 212 97% 6.4k $70k (exactly $69,896) Pico Games
HITLER: BDSM BUNKER older $9.99 164 81% 4.9k $49k (exactly $49,151) Adolf Games
Tenta Shooter older $9.99 101 89% 3.0k $30k (exactly $30,270) Rakugaki Games
7 Sexy Sins older $1.99 489 87% 15k $29k (exactly $29,193) Zai Studio
无梦少女 DreamlessGirl $9.99 49 65% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) REZEROR STUDIO
Maidens of a Hollow Dream older $9.99 49 83% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) Akiragoya
KIPIDON: We Will Always Love You $7.99 34 100% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) JCPORTALS
Pizza Porno Panic $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Blue Smut Studios
Waifu Discovered 3: Cyberpunk Fantasy $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) One-Hand-Free Studios
東方恋物語 ~ Locked Together $4.99 15 100% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Mugenri
Mechanical Fury - Prologue $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Avian Hearts
Fat Fleet $2.49 22 95% 660 $1.6k (exactly $1,643) DoubleCap Productions

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.