Should I ship an LGBTQ+ PvP game?
PvP + LGBTQ+
Only 13 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Marathon, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×4.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $53M, ×35974 the market median. Revenue is up 325% on the market; 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.3k (exactly $6,300) |
| Top 25% | $143k (exactly $143,328) |
| Top 5% | $54M (exactly $53,889,324) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 73 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $10.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 325% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Online Co-Op, Simulation
- Price point
- $10.00 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $10.00.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 77,442 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 4 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- 2021 · $57M 
Marathon 2026 · $54M 
NBA 2K26 2025 · $54M 
Mortal Kombat 1 2023 · $51M 
JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R 2022 · $22M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- | older | $39.99 | 47,650 88% | 1.4M | $57M (exactly $57,165,705) | Arc System Works |
| | Marathon | $39.99 | 44,919 81% | 1.3M | $54M (exactly $53,889,324) | Bungie | |
| | NBA 2K26 | $69.99 | 25,651 66% | 770k | $54M (exactly $53,859,405) | Visual Concepts | |
| | Mortal Kombat 1 | older | $49.99 | 34,197 74% | 1.0M | $51M (exactly $51,285,241) | NetherRealm Studios, QLOC |
| | JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R | older | $49.99 | 14,344 91% | 430k | $22M (exactly $21,511,697) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
 | Call of Duty®: Vanguard | older | $59.99 | 4,172 67% | 125k | $7.5M (exactly $7,508,348) | Sledgehammer Games, Treyarch, High Moon… (Sledgehammer Games, Treyarch, High Moon Studios, Raven Software, Beenox, Demonware) |
 | WWE 2K25 | $59.99 | 4,108 73% | 123k | $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) | Visual Concepts | |
 | Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash | older | $59.99 | 3,051 60% | 92k | $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) | Byking Inc. |
 | GRID Legends | older | $59.99 | 2,952 76% | 89k | $5.3M (exactly $5,312,714) | Codemasters |
 | NBA 2K27 | $69.99 | 1,698 53% | 51k | $3.6M (exactly $3,565,291) | Visual Concepts | |
 | Youtubers Life 3 | $19.99 | 468 50% | 14k | $281k (exactly $280,660) | UPLAY Online | |
 | Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To | $19.99 | 239 94% | 7.2k | $143k (exactly $143,328) | Soft Not Weak, LLC | |
 | Sex With Friends | $4.99 | 236 94% | 7.1k | $35k (exactly $35,329) | B-Team | |
 | Tough Love Arena | $11.99 | 38 97% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $13,669) | M. Paul Weeks, Amy Xu | |
 | Heatwave | $10.00 | 21 95% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,300) | Monochromesoft | |
 | Minesweeper Together | $2.99 | 64 95% | 1.9k | $5.7k (exactly $5,741) | anchikai |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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