Do I ship it?

GamesWord GameWord Game + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Word Game?

Word Game + LGBTQ+

Of 38 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×95 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×6247 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 42 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 95.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 42 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Word Game + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $37k → $79k → $13k → $44k → $1.2k → $21k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Word Game + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,319)
Median $11k (exactly $11,315)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $45,873)
Top 5% $743k (exactly $743,405)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 99
Announced 42
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 290% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Word Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Dating Sim, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 15,305 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Word Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  2. + TacticalFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + Point & ClickFair60 devs · median $1.6k · 56 announced
  4. + LootFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 8 announced
  5. + AutomationFair12 devs · median $1.6k · 11 announced
  6. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  7. + DetectiveFair82 devs · median $1.3k · 90 announced
  8. + Procedural GenerationFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair18 devs · median $1.2k · 16 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  11. + IncrementalFair91 devs · median $1.2k · 77 announced
  12. + NatureFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 8 announced

All 98 pairs on the Word Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 older $39.99 3,462 97% 104k $4.2M (exactly $4,153,361) Navel
Sweet Home $7.99 9,910 94% 297k $2.4M (exactly $2,375,427) 开心茶房
恋爱绮谭 不存在的真相 older $13.99 1,831 93% 55k $768k (exactly $768,471) Never Knows Best
Pronoun Palace $19.84 1,249 99% 37k $743k (exactly $743,405) Cadence Petersen, Hazel Fackler
The Chrono Jotter older $11.99 1,968 94% 59k $708k (exactly $707,890) Orca Layout
恋爱绮谭~不存在的夏天~ older $8.99 2,509 93% 75k $677k (exactly $676,677) Never Knows Best
The Expression Amrilato older $24.99 682 97% 20k $511k (exactly $511,295) SukeraSparo
Voice Love on Air older $29.99 526 86% 16k $473k (exactly $473,242) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT, Noisy Fish
Roman's Christmas / 罗曼圣诞探案集 older $10.99 1,395 95% 42k $460k (exactly $459,932) SelfCrop Studio
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
错过的暑假可以放第二次吗? $6.99 1,229 99% 37k $258k (exactly $257,721) 麻溜完结制作组
Stiff Neck $6.99 955 81% 29k $200k (exactly $200,264) 伤官制作组 Team Uranian
Only You $6.99 719 94% 22k $151k (exactly $150,774) 忘雪社
Trivia About You $14.99 177 93% 5.3k $80k (exactly $79,597) Raccoon Nest
Puzzle Spy International $12.50 148 91% 4.4k $56k (exactly $55,500) Travel-Friendly Cake
Throne of Monsters 怪物的王座 $12.99 130 92% 3.9k $51k (exactly $50,661) 雏形游戏
The Vampire's Bride: A bride who gets married to vampdoll $16.99 90 93% 2.7k $46k (exactly $45,873) Waterfall

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.