Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + LGBTQ+

Of 23 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $730k, ×1553 the market median. Revenue is up 375% on the market; 37 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 375% on the market, 37 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $240 → $53k → $418 → $157k → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $418 (exactly $418)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 25% $53k (exactly $53,347)
Top 5% $738k (exactly $737,705)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 54
Announced 37
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 375% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action RPG, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 118,611 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $53k, 1 in 20 over $730k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hades older $24.99 285,748 97% 8.6M $214M (exactly $214,225,276) Supergiant Games
Hades II $29.99 114,419 95% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,942,774) Supergiant Games
Boyfriend Dungeon older $19.99 2,105 91% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,262,368) Kitfox Games
Battle Shapers $24.99 984 80% 30k $738k (exactly $737,705) Metric Empire
Hell Maiden · EA $9.99 1,834 90% 55k $550k (exactly $549,650) AstralShift
Last Devil older $10.99 775 76% 23k $256k (exactly $255,518) Sand Traveler, ado
Gray Haven : Witch's Garden $21.99 319 76% 9.6k $210k (exactly $210,444) NINEHECTARE
Starlight Revolver · EA $12.99 404 54% 12k $157k (exactly $157,439) Pahdo Labs
Sword of the Necromancer older $14.99 275 69% 8.3k $124k (exactly $123,668) Grimorio of Games
SEX with HITLER 2 older $9.99 402 86% 12k $120k (exactly $120,479) Adolf Games
1 Trait Escape $9.99 178 97% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Andrew Katz, Jeremy Collette
Rogue Labyrinth $14.99 74 98% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Tea Witch Games
Femboy Survival · EA $6.99 133 92% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) 2DNiem
Bobo's Big Tower $9.99 93 92% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) SillyKitty
BONK THE BOYKISSER · EA $2.99 173 90% 5.2k $16k (exactly $15,518) akhsotoen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.