Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-BasedTurn-Based + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Turn-Based game?

Turn-Based + LGBTQ+

Only 9 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ara History Untold: Anniversary Edition , made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $27k against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 43.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 300% on the market, 6 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $112k → $21k → $47k
Outcomes for Turn-Based + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $3.2k (exactly $3,237)
Median $27k (exactly $27,273)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $47,011)
Top 5% $3.2M (exactly $3,210,858)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 42
Announced 6
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 300% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 55,022 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.3k, median $27k, 1 in 4 over $47k, 1 in 20 over $3.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.3k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + DragonsStrong odds7 devs · median $53k · 7 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  4. + SandboxFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  5. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $32k · 18 announced
  6. + CraftingFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $10k · 57 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  10. + ChessFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $294k · 7 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds16 devs · median $193k · 26 announced

All 110 pairs on the Turn-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ older $29.99 10,623 88% 319k $9.6M (exactly $9,557,513) Airship Syndicate
Yes, Your Grace older $19.99 12,571 87% 377k $7.5M (exactly $7,538,829) Brave At Night
XCOM®: Chimera Squad older $9.99 20,602 71% 618k $6.2M (exactly $6,174,419) Firaxis Games
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
Ara History Untold: Anniversary Edition $49.99 2,141 68% 64k $3.2M (exactly $3,210,858) Oxide Games
BLUE REFLECTION older $59.99 1,267 79% 38k $2.3M (exactly $2,280,220) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light older $59.99 948 82% 28k $1.7M (exactly $1,706,116) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Sakura Dungeon older $19.99 1,374 91% 41k $824k (exactly $823,988) Winged Cloud
Virgo Versus The Zodiac older $19.99 790 92% 24k $474k (exactly $473,763) Moonana
Omega Labyrinth Life older $59.99 263 64% 7.9k $473k (exactly $473,321) Matrix
Wander Stars $24.99 148 92% 4.4k $111k (exactly $110,956) Paper Castle Games
Brainwashing Academy - The Cursed Person's Pot $15.99 98 87% 2.9k $47k (exactly $47,011) U-ROOM
Legends of Gems $8.99 139 81% 4.2k $37k (exactly $37,488) 南京西木优洛网络科技有限公司
SuperQuest $9.99 91 100% 2.7k $27k (exactly $27,273) HyperShrimp
Toward Dawn $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Devi Serene
HALF-BAKED GIRLS $11.99 9 88% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) MISTROLE
Another Round $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Triple Eye Games
Caterpillar King $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Kabob Lover

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.