Do I ship it?

GamesSouls-likeSouls-like + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Souls-like?

Souls-like + LGBTQ+

Only 15 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Souls-like in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hades II, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $23k against a market of $1.5k. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 15.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 16 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Souls-like + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.0k → $161k → $225k → $168k → $35k
Outcomes for Souls-like + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $23k (exactly $23,384)
Top 25% $1.5M (exactly $1,494,402)
Top 5% $103M (exactly $102,942,774)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 70
Announced 16
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Souls-like
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Souls-like
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 158,239 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $23k, 1 in 4 over $1.4M, 1 in 20 over $100M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Souls-like with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair25 devs · median $27k · 17 announced
  3. + Artificial IntelligenceFair13 devs · median $22k · 17 announced
  4. + JRPGFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  6. + PsychologicalFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerLong shot49 devs · median $776 · 46 announced
  9. + Score AttackLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  10. + WarPoor odds8 devs · median $451k · 22 announced
  11. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds12 devs · median $88k · 21 announced
  12. + RomancePoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 16 announced

All 122 pairs on the Souls-like page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hades II $29.99 114,419 95% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,942,774) Supergiant Games
God of War Ragnarök $59.99 32,502 89% 975k $58M (exactly $58,493,849) Santa Monica Studio, Jetpack Interactive
GreedFall older $34.99 18,460 75% 554k $19M (exactly $19,377,462) Spiders
Carnal Instinct · EA older $29.99 5,407 82% 162k $4.9M (exactly $4,864,678) Team Carnal Instinct
Changed older $4.99 16,062 88% 482k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,481) DragonSnow
The Headliners $7.99 8,534 86% 256k $2.0M (exactly $2,045,600) KAFI
Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™ older $9.99 6,039 90% 181k $1.8M (exactly $1,809,888) Psyop
Eternal Strands $29.99 1,661 87% 50k $1.5M (exactly $1,494,402) Yellow Brick Games
An alt girl for skoof older $4.99 9,484 83% 285k $1.4M (exactly $1,419,755) Terletski Games, RIKANIMATION
UNSIGHTED older $19.99 1,863 93% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,117,241) Studio Pixel Punk
Halluci-Sabbat of Koishi $7.99 701 91% 21k $168k (exactly $168,030) ZRIGN 地霊研究院
Cafe DReAMLAND $12.99 99 93% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,580) めとこ
Sex With Friends $4.99 236 94% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) B-Team
Magissy $14.99 52 46% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Bit Fat Games
Plastic Lust $3.99 29 79% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Umbrelloid
Waifu Simulator $4.99 6 50% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Slippy Floor

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.