Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ PvE game?

PvE + LGBTQ+

Of 26 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ PvE game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×7.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $53M, ×85811 the market median. Revenue is up 675% on the market; 51 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 675% on the market, 51 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $122k → $2.1k → $225k → $53k → $1.2k → $9.4k → $7.8k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $42,857)
Top 5% $54M (exactly $53,889,324)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 80
Announced 51
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 675% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 104,458 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.7k, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $53M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Borderlands 4 $69.99 57,874 59% 1.7M $122M (exactly $121,518,038) Gearbox Software
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
Suicide Squad: Kill the Justice League older $69.99 12,718 60% 382k $27M (exactly $26,703,985) Rocksteady Studios
Call of Duty®: Vanguard older $59.99 4,172 67% 125k $7.5M (exactly $7,508,348) Sledgehammer Games, Treyarch, High Moon… (Sledgehammer Games, Treyarch, High Moon Studios, Raven Software, Beenox, Demonware)
Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash older $59.99 3,051 60% 92k $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) Byking Inc.
Immortals of Aveum™ older $59.99 2,794 71% 84k $5.0M (exactly $5,028,362) Ascendant Studios
Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions older $29.99 2,790 73% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) Unbroken Studios
Mage Kanade's Futanari Dungeon Quest older $24.99 656 88% 20k $492k (exactly $491,803) Dieselmine
Churn Vector older $14.99 500 89% 15k $225k (exactly $224,850) Naelstrof, Eugene, Archival
Bureau of Contacts $7.99 569 81% 17k $136k (exactly $136,389) MIROWIN
BroomSweeper $17.99 193 75% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) BandsWithLegends
Oh So Hero! $9.99 255 94% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) Full Frontal Frog
1 Trait Escape $9.99 178 97% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Andrew Katz, Jeremy Collette
CODE Bunny $9.99 143 93% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Team Seventh Star
Femboy Survival · EA $6.99 133 92% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) 2DNiem
BONK THE BOYKISSER · EA $2.99 173 90% 5.2k $16k (exactly $15,518) akhsotoen
Netoria Tactics 2 · EA $14.99 21 95% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) Apollo Seven Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.