Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + LGBTQ+

Of 58 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 77 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.3k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×411 the market median. Revenue is up 255% on the market; 77 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 15.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 255% on the market, 77 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $13k → $37k → $3.2k → $21k → $8.2k → $4.7k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $720 (exactly $720)
Median $7.3k (exactly $7,335)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,215)
Top 5% $195k (exactly $195,188)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 175
Announced 77
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 255% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, JRPG
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,043 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $7.3k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 77 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Baldur's Gate 3 older $59.99 755,010 96% 23M $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) Larian Studios
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ older $29.99 10,623 88% 319k $9.6M (exactly $9,557,513) Airship Syndicate
XCOM®: Chimera Squad older $9.99 20,602 71% 618k $6.2M (exactly $6,174,419) Firaxis Games
In Stars And Time older $19.99 7,835 97% 235k $4.7M (exactly $4,698,650) insertdisc5
BLUE REFLECTION older $59.99 1,267 79% 38k $2.3M (exactly $2,280,220) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light older $59.99 948 82% 28k $1.7M (exactly $1,706,116) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Indivisible older $19.99 2,458 72% 74k $1.5M (exactly $1,474,063) Lab Zero Games
Small Saga older $19.99 1,821 95% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,092,054) Darya Noghani
Robin Morningwood Adventure - A gay RPG older $34.99 995 96% 30k $1.0M (exactly $1,044,452) Grizzly Gamer
Hero's Journey older $14.99 1,690 79% 51k $760k (exactly $759,993) Jun Takahashi
BLUE REFLECTION Quartet $49.99 140 57% 4.2k $210k (exactly $209,958) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Battle Suit Aces $19.99 347 90% 10k $208k (exactly $208,096) Trinket Studios
Parasite Black · EA $17.49 372 89% 11k $195k (exactly $195,188) Damned Studios
Beloved Rapture $19.99 237 82% 7.1k $142k (exactly $142,129) Rapturous Studio
Monster Souls: Chains of Chimera $34.99 112 90% 3.4k $118k (exactly $117,566) inputHero
Wander Stars $24.99 148 92% 4.4k $111k (exactly $110,956) Paper Castle Games
BroomSweeper $17.99 193 75% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) BandsWithLegends
Sexorcism: Lust Confession $7.99 277 70% 8.3k $66k (exactly $66,397) Kinky Business Group
Gales of Nayeli $24.99 87 88% 2.6k $65k (exactly $65,224) Blindcoco Studios
Throne of Monsters 怪物的王座 $12.99 130 92% 3.9k $51k (exactly $50,661) 雏形游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.