Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + LGBTQ+

Of 79 developers who shipped an LGBTQ+ 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 100 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×248 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 100 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 100 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 79
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $7.6k → $3.1k → $19k → $1.7k → $15k → $1.3k (still earning) → $657 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 79
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,198)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,566)
Developers, 2 yr 79
Released games 203
Announced 100
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Platformer
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 3,127 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 100 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R older $49.99 14,344 91% 430k $22M (exactly $21,511,697) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown older $29.99 6,754 84% 203k $6.1M (exactly $6,076,574) Ubisoft Montpellier
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 older $39.99 3,462 97% 104k $4.2M (exactly $4,153,361) Navel
Timespinner older $19.99 2,823 86% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) Lunar Ray Games
Otome Riron to Sono Shuuhen -École de Paris- older $39.99 879 96% 26k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,536) Navel
Fallen girl - Black rose and the fire of desire older $14.99 1,204 70% 36k $541k (exactly $541,439) BoRoBoRoGame
Kitsune Tails older $19.99 833 95% 25k $500k (exactly $499,550) Kitsune Games
Voice Love on Air older $29.99 526 86% 16k $473k (exactly $473,242) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT, Noisy Fish
Tsuki ni Yorisou Otome no Sahou 2 $39.99 287 96% 8.6k $344k (exactly $344,314) Navel
错过的暑假可以放第二次吗? $6.99 1,229 99% 37k $258k (exactly $257,721) 麻溜完结制作组
Possessor(s) $9.99 718 75% 22k $215k (exactly $215,185) Heart Machine
Monster Souls: Chains of Chimera $34.99 112 90% 3.4k $118k (exactly $117,566) inputHero
Oh So Hero! $9.99 255 94% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) Full Frontal Frog
The Vampire's Bride: A bride who gets married to vampdoll $16.99 90 93% 2.7k $46k (exactly $45,873) Waterfall
UncleOffice:uncle Dating Simulator $15.99 92 61% 2.8k $44k (exactly $44,132) GameUncle
CODE Bunny $9.99 143 93% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Team Seventh Star
Dungeon Gals $14.99 84 100% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) DoricDream
The Rocky Horror Show Video Game $9.99 117 86% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) FreakZone Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.