Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + LGBTQ+

Only 6 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $8.2k against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $112k → $1.5M → $6.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,915)
Median $8.2k (exactly $8,150)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $35,964)
Top 5% $51M (exactly $51,367,724)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 35
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 113,744 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.0k, median $8.2k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $51M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered $49.99 34,252 90% 1.0M $51M (exactly $51,367,724) Naughty Dog LLC, Nixxes Software, Iron… (Naughty Dog LLC, Nixxes Software, Iron Galaxy Studios)
Suicide Squad: Kill the Justice League older $69.99 12,718 60% 382k $27M (exactly $26,703,985) Rocksteady Studios
Gears 5 older $29.99 21,210 72% 636k $19M (exactly $19,082,637) The Coalition
SIGNALIS older $19.99 30,601 96% 918k $18M (exactly $18,351,420) rose-engine
Outcast - A New Beginning older $39.99 1,232 78% 37k $1.5M (exactly $1,478,030) Appeal Studios
BLACK CLOVER: QUARTET KNIGHTS older $49.99 832 75% 25k $1.2M (exactly $1,247,750) ILINX, Inc.
Postal III older $5.99 4,833 47% 145k $868k (exactly $868,490) Trashmasters, Zoom Platform
Hunt and Snare · EA older $29.99 720 80% 22k $648k (exactly $647,784) Ruffleneck, Hare, Drathek
Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge older $1.99 7,062 77% 212k $422k (exactly $421,601) Invent4 Entertainment
ARIA: Genesis older $14.99 284 61% 8.5k $128k (exactly $127,715) Vortex00
Beta City $9.99 120 96% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,964) 娜豆传媒
KIPIDON: We Will Always Love You $7.99 34 100% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) JCPORTALS
CyberpunkXXX $9.99 21 33% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) GAMERFLEX Studios
Femboy vs Nazis · EA $3.99 16 87% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Hellim Studios
2 Hours Later $5.99 6 16% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) SevenGHON

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.