Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsArchery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery game?

Archery

Of 113 developers who shipped an Archery game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 243 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×488 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 243 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 243 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 113
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $1.0k → $1.7k → $1.3k → $539 → $898 → $809 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 113
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,075)
Top 5% $232k (exactly $231,657)
Developers, 2 yr 113
Released games 421
Announced 243
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 7,046 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 73 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 243 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Archery

39 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Archery + Top-Down Shooter Fair $359 9 devs
  2. Hack and Slash + Archery Poor odds $4.1k 18 devs
  3. RPG + Archery Poor odds $2.4k 28 devs
  4. Archery + Platformer Poor odds $2.4k 13 devs
  5. Hunting + Archery Poor odds $2.2k 9 devs
  6. Action RPG + Archery Poor odds $1.5k 19 devs
  7. Open World + Archery Poor odds $1.5k 15 devs
  8. Archery + Roguelike Poor odds $1.0k 13 devs
  9. Adventure + Archery Poor odds $898 52 devs
  10. Combat + Archery Poor odds $898 36 devs
  11. Archery + Exploration Poor odds $809 32 devs
  12. PvE + Archery Poor odds $809 22 devs
  13. Swordplay + Archery Poor odds $809 19 devs
  14. Action Roguelike + Archery Poor odds $809 12 devs
  15. Archery + Dungeon Crawler Poor odds $809 12 devs
  16. Physics + Archery Poor odds $748 15 devs
  17. Sandbox + Archery Poor odds $748 10 devs
  18. Building + Archery Poor odds $748 9 devs
  19. Action + Archery Poor odds $719 77 devs
  20. Action-Adventure + Archery Poor odds $719 39 devs
  21. Simulation + Archery Poor odds $719 18 devs
  22. Survival + Archery Poor odds $719 17 devs
  23. PvP + Archery Poor odds $719 16 devs
  24. FPS + Archery Poor odds $600 19 devs
  25. Shooter + Archery Poor odds $359 34 devs
  26. Crafting + Archery Dead $2.4k 9 devs
  27. 3D Platformer + Archery Dead $1.8k 8 devs
  28. Loot + Archery Dead $809 9 devs
  29. Character Customization + Archery Dead $719 9 devs
  30. Archery + Puzzle Dead $539 7 devs
  31. Strategy + Archery Dead $450 28 devs
  32. Archery + 2D Platformer Dead $450 16 devs
  33. Archery + Roguelite Dead $359 15 devs
  34. Archery + Tower Defense Dead $300 14 devs
  35. Arena Shooter + Archery Dead $300 9 devs
  36. Archery + Arcade Dead $119 22 devs
  37. Sports + Archery Dead $119 13 devs
  38. Tactical + Archery Dead $90 9 devs
  39. Third-Person Shooter + Archery Dead $60 11 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
Swords & Souls: Neverseen older $14.99 6,077 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,827) SoulGame Studio
The Pathless older $39.99 1,944 90% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,332,217) Giant Squid
BLACKTAIL older $29.99 1,968 83% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,610) THE PARASIGHT
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
TowerFall Ascension older $14.99 2,942 95% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,017) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Northern Journey older $11.99 3,500 96% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,950) Slid Studio
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders older $29.99 1,020 68% 31k $918k (exactly $917,694) MeanAstronauts
Karnage Chronicles older $24.99 1,190 85% 36k $892k (exactly $892,143) Nordic Trolls
In Death older $29.99 928 82% 28k $835k (exactly $834,922) Sólfar Studios
Grimlord $29.99 927 78% 28k $834k (exactly $834,022) Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Unbridled: That Horse Game · EA $24.99 487 85% 15k $365k (exactly $365,104) Mind Evotion Games
Twin Shot Deluxe $9.99 1,167 95% 35k $350k (exactly $349,750) Nitrome Limited
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
Thief VR: Legacy of Shadow $19.99 340 75% 10k $204k (exactly $203,898) Maze Theory
Zad Archery $6.99 803 73% 24k $168k (exactly $168,389) Samharia Studios
Swords & Souls Legacy Collection $9.99 337 94% 10k $101k (exactly $100,999) SoulGame Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.