Games › Swordplay › Swordplay + Archery
Should I ship an Archery Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Archery
Only 19 developers shipped an Archery Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grimlord, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1328 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 44 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 25% | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) |
| Top 5% | $834k (exactly $834,022) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 73 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay, Archery; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Base Building, Hack and Slash
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,086 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Karnage Chronicles 2020 · $892k 
Grimlord 2024 · $834k 
Shady Knight 2024 · $539k 
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown 2021 · $196k 
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) 2023 · EA · $192k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Karnage Chronicles | older | $24.99 | 1,190 85% | 36k | $892k (exactly $892,143) | Nordic Trolls |
| | Grimlord | $29.99 | 927 78% | 28k | $834k (exactly $834,022) | Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd | |
| | Shady Knight | $19.99 | 898 93% | 27k | $539k (exactly $538,531) | Alexey 'cptnsigh' | |
| | The Vale: Shadow of the Crown | older | $19.99 | 326 97% | 9.8k | $196k (exactly $195,502) | Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios |
| | Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) | · EA older | $23.99 | 267 72% | 8.0k | $192k (exactly $192,160) | Happy Daram Inc. |
 | Epic Fantasy Battle Simulator | · EA older | $9.99 | 426 84% | 13k | $128k (exactly $127,672) | Mutiny Software |
 | Eden Island | older | $14.99 | 232 58% | 7.0k | $104k (exactly $104,330) | Moon Studio |
 | The End of Dyeus | older | $14.99 | 181 88% | 5.4k | $81k (exactly $81,396) | Curious Planet |
 | Winter Ember | older | $29.99 | 82 58% | 2.5k | $74k (exactly $73,775) | Sky Machine Studios |
 | The Last King | · EA | $14.99 | 122 79% | 3.7k | $55k (exactly $54,863) | Mayawi software |
 | Robin Hood: Sherwood Defenders | $11.99 | 25 44% | 750 | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) | MeanAstronauts | |
 | Journey of the Garden Rose | $11.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $6.5k (exactly $6,475) | Renegade Sector Games | |
 | 传说之始 | $3.99 | 46 71% | 1.4k | $5.5k (exactly $5,506) | 水月suigetsu | |
 | Smerch Battle Arena | · EA | $9.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Smerch Games |
 | the Shadow of Swallow | $3.99 | 30 76% | 900 | $3.6k (exactly $3,591) | Raine Studio | |
 | The Deepwoods | $5.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Whiteleopard Studios | |
 | Dungeon-Bot | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | XREALL |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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