Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Archery game?

Archery + Roguelike

Only 13 developers shipped a Roguelike Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zad Archery, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×355 the market median. Revenue is up 380% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 380% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $898 → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $6.2k (exactly $6,203)
Top 5% $168k (exactly $168,389)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery, Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hack and Slash, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,166 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  11. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced
  12. + CombatPoor odds36 devs · median $898 · 97 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
In Death older $29.99 928 82% 28k $835k (exactly $834,922) Sólfar Studios
QuiVr older $19.99 482 88% 14k $289k (exactly $289,055) Blueteak
Zad Archery $6.99 803 73% 24k $168k (exactly $168,389) Samharia Studios
Psionic Sentry : Infinite · EA $4.99 215 83% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,186) Roy, 響雨互動娛樂, HowlingRain
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Revans older $6.99 36 69% 1.1k $7.5k (exactly $7,549) Format lib: /s
Rogue Arrows older $4.99 43 76% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Jolly Theory
Seonbi : Scholar of Joseon older $6.99 30 73% 900 $6.3k (exactly $6,291) Team ETTU
Dorts : A Darts Roguelike $8.99 23 100% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) MovingPixels
Ashen Arrows $17.99 10 90% 300 $5.4k (exactly $5,397) Rusty Pipes Games
Aevalore $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Aevalore
The Bow: Ultimate weapon $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Nomad Ukiki
The Deepwoods $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Whiteleopard Studios
Arrow Dungeon $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) ParkDol
BODYguard: CellWars $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) RevealingMermaid

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.