Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Archery game?

Loot + Archery

Only 9 developers shipped a Loot Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zad Archery, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $630. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 18 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Loot + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $168k (exactly $168,389)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Archery
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,003 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $810, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Karnage Chronicles older $24.99 1,190 85% 36k $892k (exactly $892,143) Nordic Trolls
QuiVr older $19.99 482 88% 14k $289k (exactly $289,055) Blueteak
Zad Archery $6.99 803 73% 24k $168k (exactly $168,389) Samharia Studios
The Viking Way · EA older $14.99 331 42% 9.9k $149k (exactly $148,851) Ice Lava Games
Rogue Arrows older $4.99 43 76% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Jolly Theory
Map Of Materials older $3.99 50 80% 1.5k $6.0k (exactly $5,985) Mike Engler
传说之始 $3.99 46 71% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) 水月suigetsu
SEARCH ALL - RUNES older $2.99 42 92% 1.3k $3.8k (exactly $3,767) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Smerch Battle Arena · EA $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Smerch Games
Midjungard older $15.99 4 50% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) Plus Infinity Studios
Shiny Stones $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Verbal Chambers
Arrow Dungeon $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) ParkDol
Gladatora $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Jeremiah Eastman
Guards vs Goats $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) David Amado
Total Defense: Three Kingdoms $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) JinDai
DiceRoll $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) MuDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.