Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Archery game?

Archery + Arcade

Of 22 developers who shipped an Arcade Archery game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 29 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $29k → $1.0k → $390 → $60 → $600 → $2.4k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $119 (exactly $119)
Top 25% $600 (exactly $600)
Top 5% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 83
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery, Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 1,210 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $600, 1 in 20 over $2.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TowerFall Ascension older $14.99 2,942 95% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,017) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Twin Shot Deluxe $9.99 1,167 95% 35k $350k (exactly $349,750) Nitrome Limited
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
QuiVr older $19.99 482 88% 14k $289k (exactly $289,055) Blueteak
Budget Cuts Ultimate older $19.99 110 88% 3.3k $66k (exactly $65,967) Neat Corporation
Nock older $19.99 49 87% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) Normal
Presentiment of Death older $14.99 45 71% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) XOCUS
ADVERSE older $5.99 97 79% 2.9k $17k (exactly $17,431) Loneminded
Cricket Through the Ages older $7.99 70 91% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,779) Free Lives
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive
Aevalore $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Aevalore
Arrow Survival: 15 Seconds $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Low Pixel Byte
Bow Course - Archery Golf · EA $11.99 2 50% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Korpi Games Oy
Survivors Dawn: Zombie World $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Uygar Bursalıoğlu
Cosmic Star Lounge $17.99 1 100% 30 $540 (exactly $540) Bax Digital GmbH
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Smoots Summer Games II $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Kaneda Games
BODYguard: CellWars $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) RevealingMermaid

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.