Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Archery game?

Archery + Platformer

Only 13 developers shipped a Platformer Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shady Knight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $530k, ×1134 the market median. Revenue is up 1010% on the market; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1010% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $1.7k → $3.2k → $1.2k
Outcomes for Archery + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,840)
Top 5% $539k (exactly $538,531)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 45
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1010% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery, Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hack and Slash, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Colorful, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,007 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  8. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  10. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  11. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced
  12. + CombatPoor odds36 devs · median $898 · 97 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TowerFall Ascension older $14.99 2,942 95% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,017) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Twin Shot Deluxe $9.99 1,167 95% 35k $350k (exactly $349,750) Nitrome Limited
Zad Archery $6.99 803 73% 24k $168k (exactly $168,389) Samharia Studios
Dark Water : Slime Invader older $14.99 138 94% 4.1k $62k (exactly $62,059) DEVBOX
Tinboy older $4.99 231 64% 6.9k $35k (exactly $34,581) Interactive Stone
Presentiment of Death older $14.99 45 71% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) XOCUS
ADVERSE older $5.99 97 79% 2.9k $17k (exactly $17,431) Loneminded
ArcSine older $24.99 21 100% 630 $16k (exactly $15,744) Prop Logic
Mythrealm · EA $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Delta Video Games
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Tales of Isenberg $2.99 36 100% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Madarász András, Varga David
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios
Arrow Survival: 15 Seconds $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Low Pixel Byte
Shiny Stones $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Verbal Chambers
Stickforge $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Noldo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.