Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Building Archery game?

Building + Archery

Only 9 developers shipped a Building Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Native Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $31k, ×50 the market median. Revenue is up 1190% on the market; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 1190% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $150 → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $31,303)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 36
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1190% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building, Archery
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 1,898 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $750, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders older $29.99 1,020 68% 31k $918k (exactly $917,694) MeanAstronauts
Eden Island older $14.99 232 58% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Moon Studio
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
HG Adventure · EA older $13.99 132 88% 4.0k $55k (exactly $55,400) 皓际
RFVR · EA older $29.99 49 81% 1.5k $44k (exactly $44,085) OMFGames
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Robin Hood: Sherwood Defenders $11.99 25 44% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) MeanAstronauts
Ephesus older $2.99 85 51% 2.6k $7.6k (exactly $7,625) The Pack Studios
Tourney older $6.99 30 63% 900 $6.3k (exactly $6,291) Tusky Games
Age Of Omens · EA older $15.99 8 75% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) Groundbreak Games
Forsaken Shores · EA $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Kuldan Studio
Hill Defender · EA $3.99 9 77% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Jendimir
Stickforge $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Noldo
Vasterra $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Pollo Solo Studio
Dawnhelm Defense $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) DeckTronic
Core Defense 2099 $24.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Core Volume Engine
Splatapult $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Recoil Mojo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.