Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Archery game?

Archery + Puzzle

Only 7 developers shipped a Puzzle Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Reach, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $480. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 18 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Archery + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,514)
Top 5% $220k (exactly $219,527)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 37
Announced 18
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery, Puzzle
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,310 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $540, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
Nancy Drew®: The Silent Spy older $19.99 169 89% 5.1k $101k (exactly $101,349) HeR Interactive
Budget Cuts Ultimate older $19.99 110 88% 3.3k $66k (exactly $65,967) Neat Corporation
Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow older $13.99 150 78% 4.5k $63k (exactly $62,955) Catthia Games
Dark Water : Slime Invader older $14.99 138 94% 4.1k $62k (exactly $62,059) DEVBOX
Riddle of the Sphinx™ The Awakening (Enhanced Edition) older $19.99 84 83% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Old World Studios™
Survivor - Castaway Island older $24.99 53 37% 1.6k $40k (exactly $39,734) Magic Pockets
Tinboy older $4.99 231 64% 6.9k $35k (exactly $34,581) Interactive Stone
Presentiment of Death older $14.99 45 71% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) XOCUS
Lovely Planet Arcade older $5.99 86 79% 2.6k $15k (exactly $15,454) quicktequila
Elf Archer and The Disappearing Giant Tree - R18 $3.99 21 61% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Bubble Gums
Dungeon-Bot $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) XREALL
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Archerry Storm $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) OriGame Studios
ARROW-ButtonHeart $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) XPGS25
A Game About Leading A Crowds $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jacobdev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.