Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Archery

Only 12 developers shipped an Archery Action Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Psionic Sentry : Infinite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $32k, ×68 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 30 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $898 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,397)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,186)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 30
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Archery
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 85% positive over 337 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $810, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
In Death older $29.99 928 82% 28k $835k (exactly $834,922) Sólfar Studios
Nasty Rogue older $10.99 102 76% 3.1k $34k (exactly $33,629) Voxelblade Studio
Psionic Sentry : Infinite · EA $4.99 215 83% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,186) Roy, 響雨互動娛樂, HowlingRain
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Rogue Arrows older $4.99 43 76% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Jolly Theory
Seonbi : Scholar of Joseon older $6.99 30 73% 900 $6.3k (exactly $6,291) Team ETTU
Ashen Arrows $17.99 10 90% 300 $5.4k (exactly $5,397) Rusty Pipes Games
Infinity Castle Dungeon older $3.99 32 84% 960 $3.8k (exactly $3,830) Morty's Develop
Tetraphobia · EA older $10.99 11 100% 330 $3.6k (exactly $3,627) PolyPlant Games
Dispel · EA older $4.99 22 72% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) LegionSword
Aevalore $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Aevalore
The Deepwoods $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Whiteleopard Studios
Arrow Dungeon $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) ParkDol
GunBang $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 4Tins Studios
Entities $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Danilo Willian
SnakeVib $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bob Barker
Ethereal Storm · EA $8.40 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) App.nz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.