Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Archery game?

PvP + Archery

Only 16 developers shipped a PvP Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DragonRoad, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 150% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 37 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $809 → $75k → $1.3k → $3.6k → $750 → $748 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,151)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 58
Announced 37
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Archery; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Survival, Action
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.98 or above
Art
all of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.98 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 198 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Oh Deer 2024 · $637k Project Sparrow 2022 · EA · $320k Dragon Throne: Battle of Red Cliffs 2024 · $75k DragonRoad 2025 · $49k Native Hunter 2025 · $31k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Oh Deer older $9.99 2,125 84% 64k $637k (exactly $636,862) Cozy Cabin Studios
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
Dragon Throne: Battle of Red Cliffs older $9.99 249 84% 7.5k $75k (exactly $74,625) Object Software, ZOOM Platform Media, J… (Object Software, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Nock older $19.99 49 87% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) Normal
Dorts : A Darts Roguelike $8.99 23 100% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) MovingPixels
Smerch Battle Arena · EA $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Smerch Games
Archery Club older $9.99 12 75% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) BoomBit
Royale Archer VR older $12.99 9 66% 270 $3.5k (exactly $3,507) Funnypack
Ancestral Players · EA $5.85 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,755) ENSLIP
Knights of the Apocalypse $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Sirius Morning Star
Stickforge $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Noldo
Polygon In $7.99 3 33% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Infinity Requiem Studio
Cosmic Star Lounge $17.99 1 100% 30 $540 (exactly $540) Bax Digital GmbH
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.