Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Shooter?

Shooter + Archery

Of 34 developers who shipped an Archery Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 48 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is up 115% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 48 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $809 → $479 → $2.4k → $299 → $719 → $748 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,755)
Top 5% $539k (exactly $538,531)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 118
Announced 48
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Archery; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Hack and Slash
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,151 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
Northern Journey older $11.99 3,500 96% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,950) Slid Studio
In Death older $29.99 928 82% 28k $835k (exactly $834,922) Sólfar Studios
Dread Templar older $19.99 1,096 82% 33k $657k (exactly $657,271) T19 Games
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
The End of Dyeus older $14.99 181 88% 5.4k $81k (exactly $81,396) Curious Planet
Warbox Sandbox older $6.99 279 78% 8.4k $59k (exactly $58,506) Madar Games
Caesar's Revenge older $13.50 82 85% 2.5k $33k (exactly $33,210) Pixel Barons
Psionic Sentry : Infinite · EA $4.99 215 83% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,186) Roy, 響雨互動娛樂, HowlingRain
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios
Bunny Hurling $2.99 25 92% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Mounpeak Games
Ancestral Players · EA $5.85 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,755) ENSLIP
The Bow: Ultimate weapon $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Nomad Ukiki

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.