Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Archery

Only 9 developers shipped an Archery Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ancestral Players, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 645% on the market, 11 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $600 (exactly $600)
Top 5% $1.8k (exactly $1,755)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 35
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.85

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 645% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Archery
Price point
$5.85 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,738 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $600, 1 in 20 over $1.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Project Sparrow · EA older $9.99 1,067 88% 32k $320k (exactly $319,780) Inspire Game Studios
QuiVr older $19.99 482 88% 14k $289k (exactly $289,055) Blueteak
Nock older $19.99 49 87% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) Normal
Keep Defending older $2.99 42 88% 1.3k $3.8k (exactly $3,767) Faster Time Games
Jogward older $2.99 37 94% 1.1k $3.3k (exactly $3,319) MorkPuncher
Hentai ヘンタイ - C-GUM VACCINATION older $7.99 11 9% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Ero Team Triangle
Tiny Archers VR older $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) 1DER Entertainment
Frisbee For Fun older $3.99 20 90% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Caio Flavio
Wolf Attack older $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) TOMATOVR
Dangerous Lands older $2.99 20 70% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Ancestral Players · EA $5.85 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,755) ENSLIP
Stickforge $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Noldo
Survivors Dawn: Zombie World $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Uygar Bursalıoğlu
GunBang $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 4Tins Studios
Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) MagusForge
Medieval Archer Simulator · EA $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Hard Shark Games
Tower Defense: Goblin Wars $0.99 4 25% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Yusuf Islam Seyhan, Samet Acar
BraceUp VR $16.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Virtual Software House
Invisible Archery $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Darksody

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.