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Should I ship a Physics Archery game?
Physics + Archery
Only 15 developers shipped a Physics Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grimlord, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1328 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 28 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) |
| Top 5% | $834k (exactly $834,022) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Archery; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, VR
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,415 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Grimlord 2024 · $834k 
All-In-One Sports VR 2023 · $420k 
Twin Shot Deluxe 2026 · $350k 
Reach 2025 · $220k 
Tinboy 2015 · $35k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Grimlord | $29.99 | 927 78% | 28k | $834k (exactly $834,022) | Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd | |
| | All-In-One Sports VR | older | $19.99 | 700 84% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Appnori Inc. |
| | Twin Shot Deluxe | $9.99 | 1,167 95% | 35k | $350k (exactly $349,750) | Nitrome Limited | |
| | Reach | $29.99 | 244 66% | 7.3k | $220k (exactly $219,527) | nDreams Elevation | |
| | Tinboy | older | $4.99 | 231 64% | 6.9k | $35k (exactly $34,581) | Interactive Stone |
 | Cricket Through the Ages | older | $7.99 | 70 91% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,779) | Free Lives |
 | ArcSine | older | $24.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $16k (exactly $15,744) | Prop Logic |
 | Head Collector VR | · EA older | $20.00 | 24 66% | 720 | $14k (exactly $14,400) | Lil Husky VR |
 | Dorts : A Darts Roguelike | $8.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) | MovingPixels | |
 | Sherwood Extreme | older | $9.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | CAGE Studios |
 | Elf Archer and The Disappearing Giant Tree - R18 | $3.99 | 21 61% | 630 | $2.5k (exactly $2,514) | Bubble Gums | |
 | Arrows and Antiquity | $4.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | True Neutral Studios | |
 | Hill Defender | · EA | $3.99 | 9 77% | 270 | $1.1k (exactly $1,077) | Jendimir |
 | Stickforge | $4.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Noldo | |
 | Bow Course - Archery Golf | · EA | $11.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Korpi Games Oy |
 | Save The Castle! | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Endless Path Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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