Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Archery game?

Archery + Top-Down Shooter

Only 9 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Swamp Keeper, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 800% on the market; 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 800% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Archery + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $809 (exactly $809)
Top 5% $9.8k (exactly $9,815)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 11
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 350 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $800, 1 in 20 over $9.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  3. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  4. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  5. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  6. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  8. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  10. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  11. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced
  12. + CombatPoor odds36 devs · median $898 · 97 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HG Adventure · EA older $13.99 132 88% 4.0k $55k (exactly $55,400) 皓际
Valand older $7.99 54 59% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) LOMS Studio
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Public Land Hunter older $3.99 33 96% 990 $4.0k (exactly $3,950) Toft Games
Tetraphobia · EA older $10.99 11 100% 330 $3.6k (exactly $3,627) PolyPlant Games
Frisbee For Fun older $3.99 20 90% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Caio Flavio
The Bow: Ultimate weapon $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Nomad Ukiki
Arrow Dungeon $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) ParkDol
Abiko The Miko 2 older $7.99 3 66% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Nacks Soft
GunBang $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 4Tins Studios
BUNNYBastion $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Last Wall Games
Quiver and Die $0.99 4 25% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Raphael Robatto
SnakeVib $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bob Barker
A Game About Leading A Crowds $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jacobdev
Invisible Archery $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Darksody

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.