Do I ship it?

Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Archery

Of 39 developers who shipped an Archery Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×369 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 96 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 96 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $11k → $5.4k → $719 → $809 → $15k → $1.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,506)
Top 5% $232k (exactly $231,657)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 139
Announced 96
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Archery; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 2,112 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Pathless 2021 · $2.3M BLACKTAIL 2022 · $1.8M Northern Journey 2021 · $1.3M Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders 2024 · $918k Karnage Chronicles 2020 · $892k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Pathless older $39.99 1,944 90% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,332,217) Giant Squid
BLACKTAIL older $29.99 1,968 83% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,610) THE PARASIGHT
Northern Journey older $11.99 3,500 96% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,950) Slid Studio
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders older $29.99 1,020 68% 31k $918k (exactly $917,694) MeanAstronauts
Karnage Chronicles older $24.99 1,190 85% 36k $892k (exactly $892,143) Nordic Trolls
Grimlord $29.99 927 78% 28k $834k (exactly $834,022) Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
Thief VR: Legacy of Shadow $19.99 340 75% 10k $204k (exactly $203,898) Maze Theory
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball
Mythrealm · EA $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Delta Video Games
Journey of the Garden Rose $11.99 18 77% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Renegade Sector Games
传说之始 $3.99 46 71% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) 水月suigetsu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.