Do I ship it?

GamesArcheryArchery + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite Archery game?

Archery + Roguelite

Only 15 developers shipped a Roguelite Archery game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zad Archery, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 29 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Archery + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $719 → $299 → $1.4k → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Archery + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,435)
Top 5% $168k (exactly $168,389)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 33
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Archery, Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hack and Slash, Roguelike
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,139 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Archery with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Top-Down ShooterFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds13 devs · median $6.5k · 19 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $4.1k · 42 announced
  4. + HistoricalPoor odds11 devs · median $2.7k · 20 announced
  5. + RPGPoor odds28 devs · median $2.4k · 96 announced
  6. + PlatformerPoor odds13 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  7. + HuntingPoor odds9 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + NaturePoor odds11 devs · median $1.8k · 36 announced
  9. + Action RPGPoor odds19 devs · median $1.5k · 58 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds15 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  11. + RoguelikePoor odds13 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds52 devs · median $898 · 123 announced

All 46 pairs on the Archery page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
In Death older $29.99 928 82% 28k $835k (exactly $834,922) Sólfar Studios
Zad Archery $6.99 803 73% 24k $168k (exactly $168,389) Samharia Studios
Nasty Rogue older $10.99 102 76% 3.1k $34k (exactly $33,629) Voxelblade Studio
Psionic Sentry : Infinite · EA $4.99 215 83% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,186) Roy, 響雨互動娛樂, HowlingRain
Swamp Keeper $3.99 82 96% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) Maetdol Games
Rogue Arrows older $4.99 43 76% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Jolly Theory
Infinity Castle Dungeon older $3.99 32 84% 960 $3.8k (exactly $3,830) Morty's Develop
Tetraphobia · EA older $10.99 11 100% 330 $3.6k (exactly $3,627) PolyPlant Games
Village Defenders $2.99 16 31% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Uberbax-Gaming
The Deepwoods $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Whiteleopard Studios
Polygon In $7.99 3 33% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Infinity Requiem Studio
GunBang $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 4Tins Studios
BUNNYBastion $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Last Wall Games
Imprecision $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Morgan Houston, MM's Gaming Community L… (Morgan Houston, MM's Gaming Community LLC)
Small Test $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) UAIGolem

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.