Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Archery

Only 11 developers shipped an Archery Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Many Nights a Whisper, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $60 in the last 2 years and $60 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $60 (exactly $60)
Top 25% $539 (exactly $539)
Top 5% $63k (exactly $62,700)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 33
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Archery
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 91% positive over 920 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $60, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $62k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
Many Nights a Whisper $2.99 699 94% 21k $63k (exactly $62,700) Deconstructeam, Selkie Harbour
Warbox Sandbox older $6.99 279 78% 8.4k $59k (exactly $58,506) Madar Games
Psionic Sentry : Infinite · EA $4.99 215 83% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,186) Roy, 響雨互動娛樂, HowlingRain
Valand older $7.99 54 59% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) LOMS Studio
Sherwood Extreme older $9.99 20 100% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) CAGE Studios
Peaceful Gunner older $4.99 25 100% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) KomBits Game Studio
Me Vs You · EA older $15.99 3 66% 90 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Amped Horizon
Vivere Retro $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Vidas Salavejus
The Legend of the War Axe older $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) PancakeGames
Imprecision $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Morgan Houston, MM's Gaming Community L… (Morgan Houston, MM's Gaming Community LLC)
Entities $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Danilo Willian
Archerry Storm $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) OriGame Studios
Clash at the Crossroads $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tevniyal Studios
Blood and Dust · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PiggyNose Games
Angels of Mars $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tony McKormack
Core Defense 2099 $24.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Core Volume Engine

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.