Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Strategy game?

Strategy + Archery

Of 28 developers who shipped an Archery Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 44 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $450 → $450 → $300 → $1.8k → $359 (still earning) → $6.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $100,999)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 77
Announced 44
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, Archery; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,420 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Swords & Souls: Neverseen older $14.99 6,077 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,827) SoulGame Studio
Zad Archery $6.99 803 73% 24k $168k (exactly $168,389) Samharia Studios
Epic Fantasy Battle Simulator · EA older $9.99 426 84% 13k $128k (exactly $127,672) Mutiny Software
Swords & Souls Legacy Collection $9.99 337 94% 10k $101k (exactly $100,999) SoulGame Studio
Dragon Throne: Battle of Red Cliffs older $9.99 249 84% 7.5k $75k (exactly $74,625) Object Software, ZOOM Platform Media, J… (Object Software, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
Winter Ember older $29.99 82 58% 2.5k $74k (exactly $73,775) Sky Machine Studios
Warbox Sandbox older $6.99 279 78% 8.4k $59k (exactly $58,506) Madar Games
The Last King · EA $14.99 122 79% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) Mayawi software
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie
Call Of The Mighty Warriors older $4.99 292 59% 8.8k $44k (exactly $43,712) Jaison Robson Gusava, SC Jogos
Dorts : A Darts Roguelike $8.99 23 100% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) MovingPixels
South America Gold Rush · EA $9.99 9 44% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Argo Games
Aevalore $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Aevalore
Tactical Archer $19.99 3 33% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Dejevis
Village Defenders $2.99 16 31% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Uberbax-Gaming
Hill Defender · EA $3.99 9 77% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Jendimir

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.