Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Archery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Archery Action RPG?

Action RPG + Archery

Only 19 developers shipped an Archery Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grimlord, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×557 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 58 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 58 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Archery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $180 → $5.4k → $897 → $299 → $15k → $2.4k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Archery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,475)
Top 5% $834k (exactly $834,022)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 73
Announced 58
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Archery
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Archery; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,478 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition older $49.99 95,804 87% 2.9M $144M (exactly $143,677,259) Guerrilla
Swords & Souls: Neverseen older $14.99 6,077 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,827) SoulGame Studio
BLACKTAIL older $29.99 1,968 83% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,610) THE PARASIGHT
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders older $29.99 1,020 68% 31k $918k (exactly $917,694) MeanAstronauts
Karnage Chronicles older $24.99 1,190 85% 36k $892k (exactly $892,143) Nordic Trolls
Grimlord $29.99 927 78% 28k $834k (exactly $834,022) Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown older $19.99 326 97% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Falling Squirrel, Creative Bytes Studios
Trickster VR: Co-op Dungeon Crawler older $12.99 428 85% 13k $167k (exactly $166,792) Superstatic
Vengeful Rites older $19.99 252 94% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Deep Dive Interactive
The Viking Way · EA older $14.99 331 42% 9.9k $149k (exactly $148,851) Ice Lava Games
Swords & Souls Legacy Collection $9.99 337 94% 10k $101k (exactly $100,999) SoulGame Studio
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Mythrealm · EA $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Delta Video Games
Journey of the Garden Rose $11.99 18 77% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Renegade Sector Games
传说之始 $3.99 46 71% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) 水月suigetsu
Heart of Eternity $7.99 17 76% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Ukrainian Development Company
Elf Archer and The Disappearing Giant Tree - R18 $3.99 21 61% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Bubble Gums
Aevalore $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Aevalore
Forsaken Shores · EA $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Kuldan Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.