Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour game?

Parkour

Of 720 developers who shipped a Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,046 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×378 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 1,046 games are announced against 387 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 1,046 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 720
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $836 → $1.1k → $1.0k → $597 → $628 → $449 → $599 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 720
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $483 (exactly $483)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,237)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,125)
Developers, 2 yr 720
Released games 2,149
Announced 1,046
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 203,232 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 428 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,046 games are announced against 387 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Parkour

110 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Driving + Parkour Poor odds $732 36 devs
  2. Parkour + Sci-fi Poor odds $719 87 devs
  3. Parkour + Score Attack Poor odds $719 61 devs
  4. Parkour + Sandbox Poor odds $719 32 devs
  5. Parkour + Choices Matter Poor odds $719 28 devs
  6. Parkour + Medieval Poor odds $719 28 devs
  7. Action-Adventure + Parkour Poor odds $600 217 devs
  8. Parkour + Sports Poor odds $600 68 devs
  9. Parkour + Collectathon Poor odds $600 37 devs
  10. Parkour + Tactical Poor odds $600 25 devs
  11. Parkour + Action Poor odds $599 485 devs
  12. Parkour + Adventure Poor odds $599 362 devs
  13. Parkour + Futuristic Poor odds $599 47 devs
  14. Parkour + 3D Platformer Poor odds $597 397 devs
  15. Parkour + Physics Poor odds $594 301 devs
  16. Parkour + Puzzle Platformer Poor odds $538 126 devs
  17. Parkour + Level Editor Poor odds $537 34 devs
  18. Parkour + Racing Poor odds $480 145 devs
  19. Parkour + Party Game Poor odds $479 51 devs
  20. Parkour + Procedural Generation Poor odds $479 34 devs
  21. Parkour + Platformer Poor odds $450 492 devs
  22. Parkour + Time Attack Poor odds $299 21 devs
  23. Parkour + Magic Poor odds $299 15 devs
  24. Parkour + Cyberpunk Poor odds $258 31 devs
  25. Automobile Sim + Parkour Poor odds $239 11 devs
  26. Parkour + Assassins Dead $81k 11 devs
  27. Parkour + Underground Dead $6.9k 15 devs
  28. Parkour + Historical Dead $4.7k 9 devs
  29. Parkour + Perma Death Dead $2.2k 10 devs
  30. Parkour + Choose Your Own Adventure Dead $1.7k 10 devs
  31. Parkour + Martial Arts Dead $1.6k 9 devs
  32. Parkour + Mythology Dead $1.6k 9 devs
  33. Parkour + Zombies Dead $718 8 devs
  34. Parkour + Shoot 'Em Up Dead $505 7 devs
  35. Parkour + Beat 'em up Dead $450 10 devs
  36. 3D Fighter + Parkour Dead $449 15 devs
  37. Parkour + Building Dead $449 14 devs
  38. Parkour + Nature Dead $359 58 devs
  39. Parkour + Space Dead $359 30 devs
  40. Parkour + Psychological Dead $359 13 devs
  41. Parkour + Supernatural Dead $359 8 devs
  42. Parkour + Military Dead $359 7 devs
  43. Parkour + Arcade Dead $358 198 devs
  44. Parkour + Hidden Object Dead $358 18 devs
  45. Parkour + 6DOF Dead $356 10 devs
  46. Parkour + Rhythm Dead $300 23 devs
  47. Parkour + Fantasy Dead $299 74 devs
  48. Parkour + Science Dead $299 7 devs
  49. Parkour + Quick-Time Events Dead $269 25 devs
  50. Parkour + 2D Fighter Dead $269 12 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015 · $284M Dying Light 2015 · $280M Titanfall® 2 2020 · $229M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition older $59.99 164,914 79% 4.9M $297M (exactly $296,795,726) Techland
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
Assassin's Creed® Origins older $59.99 119,764 85% 3.6M $216M (exactly $215,539,271) Ubisoft Montreal
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered older $59.99 101,879 96% 3.1M $183M (exactly $183,351,636) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ older $69.99 79,990 71% 2.4M $168M (exactly $167,955,003) Respawn
Watch_Dogs® 2 older $49.99 95,242 82% 2.9M $143M (exactly $142,834,427) Ubisoft
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ older $29.99 127,316 94% 3.8M $115M (exactly $114,546,205) Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral… (Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux), Nixxes)
Dying Light: The Beast $59.99 59,318 87% 1.8M $107M (exactly $106,754,605) Techland
Assassin’s Creed Shadows $69.99 34,953 75% 1.0M $73M (exactly $73,390,814) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Bucharest & Craiova, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Osaka, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Ukraine)
Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced $59.99 26,652 81% 800k $48M (exactly $47,965,604) Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, U… (Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft India, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Romania)
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
Assassin's Creed Mirage $49.99 11,612 76% 348k $17M (exactly $17,414,516) Ubisoft Bordeaux
Cairn $29.99 18,224 94% 547k $16M (exactly $16,396,133) The Game Bakers
Haste $19.99 12,690 92% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) Landfall
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Echo Point Nova $24.99 7,521 96% 226k $5.6M (exactly $5,638,494) Greylock Studio
Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game $24.99 6,638 94% 199k $5.0M (exactly $4,976,509) MLMEDIA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.