Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Parkour game?

Parkour + Procedural Generation

Of 34 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1627 the market median. Revenue is up 710% on the market; 54 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 710% on the market, 54 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $6.3k → $958 → $478 → $2.4k → $297 → $2.2k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,392)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 95
Announced 54
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 710% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Procedural Generation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 19,825 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Superflight older $2.99 11,047 96% 331k $991k (exactly $990,916) GrizzlyGames
Pratfall $7.99 2,797 90% 84k $670k (exactly $670,441) Quad Head
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
Dino Run DX older $5.99 1,124 95% 34k $202k (exactly $201,983) Pixeljam
Madshot older $19.99 210 79% 6.3k $126k (exactly $125,937) Overflow
Surmount older $14.99 126 83% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Jasper Oprel, Indiana-Jonas
RUN: The world in-between older $9.99 150 92% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,955) Team RUN
CashGrab: Refunded · EA $6.99 206 87% 6.2k $43k (exactly $43,198) Grabba Guild Games LLC
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice
ZIX · EA $9.99 28 78% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Hidden IO
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.