Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Parkour

Only 11 developers shipped a Parkour Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DriveCrazy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89. Revenue is down 40% on the market, with 13 games announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $836 → $1.5k → $12k → $449
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $24,068)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 34
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Parkour
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 82% positive over 121 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
Offroad Truck Simulator: Heavy Duty Challenge® older $29.99 111 50% 3.3k $100k (exactly $99,867) Nano Games
Turbo Sliders Unlimited older $14.99 125 88% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Antti Mannisto
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames
hoVRboard older $11.99 33 93% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) TomyHorst
Tails Noir: Rebel Rush older $4.94 78 98% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,560) Soup with Friends, Eggnut
BeachRun older $24.99 11 100% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Gamesforgames
BH Trials older $8.99 17 94% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Pico Sacro Games
Cyber Rider older $1.99 61 73% 1.8k $3.6k (exactly $3,642) Meng Games
Go-Kart Simulator · EA $3.99 29 58% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Payna Games
GMH - Good Morning Human ! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) W-9000 Studio
Adrenalinkick $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Draconum
Motor Racing Battle $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Liquid Meow
Racing: Storm Chase $1.99 4 25% 120 $239 (exactly $239) ChenZepeng
no brake no gain $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Make Good Games
Car Parkour 3 Together $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) cnsgames
Christmas Drift - Delivery Simulator $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) GLOBAL VISION SOLUTIONS SRL
Street Drive Rush $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Instant Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.