Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Parkour game?

Parkour + Mythology

Only 9 developers shipped a Mythological Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLACKSHARD, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $1.9k → $2.4k
Outcomes for Parkour + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $194k (exactly $194,270)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 292,640 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Assassin's Creed® Origins older $59.99 119,764 85% 3.6M $216M (exactly $215,539,271) Ubisoft Montreal
BLACKSHARD $14.99 432 91% 13k $194k (exactly $194,270) Redlock Studio, Enclave
Escape from Naraka older $14.99 97 76% 2.9k $44k (exactly $43,621) XeloGames
The Crown of Wu older $19.99 31 80% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Red Mountain
Pyramidion · EA $4.99 71 85% 2.1k $11k (exactly $10,629) TechDevAYDIN
Journey For Elysium older $2.99 56 82% 1.7k $5.0k (exactly $5,023) Mantis
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios
Richard West and the Golden Mask older $3.99 17 88% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Day Art's Games
Super Miaoyin $8.99 7 85% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) Hou Xiaohou
DESCENT: A Bunnyhopping Odyssey $5.99 9 100% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Sora
Fumpers: Dual Realms $1.99 10 100% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Fırat Kurt, KurtSoft
After The Afterlife $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) BugBit Studio
Forgotten spirit $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BurningGRP
Ninja and the Quest for the Jade Statue $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) our_flag_means_fun

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.