Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Parkour game?

Parkour + Military

Only 7 developers shipped a Military Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SkillWarz, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $630. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 12 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $5.2k → $359
Outcomes for Parkour + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 5% $7.2k (exactly $7,193)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 28
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 259,735 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $360, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $7.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 12 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
LEAP older $14.99 219 52% 6.6k $98k (exactly $98,484) Blue Isle Studios
Time To Stop Time older $9.99 161 71% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Sicarius
KILLRUN older $4.99 153 67% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) BULKHEAD
SPECTRE · EA older $9.99 76 55% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Symbiosis Games
Reload older $4.99 95 70% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,222) Top3Line s.r.o.
Commando Hero older $2.99 146 85% 4.4k $13k (exactly $13,096) Montee Games
Alvo VR older $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) OutsideIn Entertainment
SkillWarz · EA $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Baltverge Games
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Kill Dee $0.99 17 82% 510 $505 (exactly $505) BYE BYE, BUYBYEGames
Wobble Ops! $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Montee Games
SALT: Super Awesome Laser Tag $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Foxmoon Studios
Circle Begins $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) LAMSON Forge
ZeLastTank : Battle Royale $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ysn-production

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.