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Should I ship a Physics Parkour game?
Parkour + Physics
Of 301 developers who shipped a Physics Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 341 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $590, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×134 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 341 games are announced against 156 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $594 (exactly $594) |
| Top 25% | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) |
| Top 5% | $84k (exactly $84,374) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 301 |
| Released games | 738 |
| Announced | 341 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Physics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 39,656 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 171 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 341 games are announced against 156 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Human Fall Flat 2016 · $105M 
Just Cause™ 3 2015 · $62M 
Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M 
BONEWORKS 2019 · $31M 
Cairn 2026 · $16M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Human Fall Flat | older | $19.99 | 174,835 94% | 5.2M | $105M (exactly $104,848,549) | No Brakes Games |
| | Just Cause™ 3 | older | $19.99 | 104,140 85% | 3.1M | $62M (exactly $62,452,758) | Avalanche Studios |
| | Gorilla Tag | older | $19.99 | 52,637 93% | 1.6M | $32M (exactly $31,566,409) | Another Axiom Inc. |
| | BONEWORKS | older | $29.99 | 34,141 92% | 1.0M | $31M (exactly $30,716,658) | Stress Level Zero |
| | Cairn | $29.99 | 18,224 94% | 547k | $16M (exactly $16,396,133) | The Game Bakers | |
 | Session: Skate Sim | older | $39.99 | 13,460 83% | 404k | $16M (exactly $16,147,962) | crea-ture Studios Inc. |
 | My Friend Pedro | older | $19.99 | 24,570 95% | 737k | $15M (exactly $14,734,629) | DeadToast Entertainment |
 | Clustertruck | older | $14.99 | 14,706 93% | 441k | $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) | Landfall |
 | Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game | $24.99 | 6,638 94% | 199k | $5.0M (exactly $4,976,509) | MLMEDIA | |
 | Overgrowth | older | $19.99 | 6,202 86% | 186k | $3.7M (exactly $3,719,339) | Wolfire Games |
 | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
 | Pratfall | $7.99 | 2,797 90% | 84k | $670k (exactly $670,441) | Quad Head | |
 | Last Train Outta' Wormtown | $11.99 | 1,453 96% | 44k | $523k (exactly $522,644) | Get(Color) Games | |
 | Carry The Glass | $4.99 | 2,839 75% | 85k | $425k (exactly $424,998) | Çağatay Demir, Enes Kaplan | |
 | SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding | $11.99 | 920 96% | 28k | $331k (exactly $330,924) | Studio Gauntlet | |
 | Idols of Ash | $2.99 | 3,352 97% | 101k | $301k (exactly $300,674) | Leafy Games | |
 | Paddle Paddle Paddle | $4.99 | 1,584 86% | 48k | $237k (exactly $237,125) | Zoroarts | |
 | Reach | $29.99 | 244 66% | 7.3k | $220k (exactly $219,527) | nDreams Elevation |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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