Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Beat 'em up Parkour game?

Parkour + Beat 'em up

Only 10 developers shipped a Beat 'em up Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Brush Burial: Gutter World, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 1085% on the market, 27 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Parkour + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $57,288)
Top 5% $251k (exactly $251,149)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1085% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Beat 'em up
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 88% positive over 1,269 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $57k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales older $49.99 39,234 93% 1.2M $59M (exactly $58,839,230) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition older $19.99 70,499 94% 2.1M $42M (exactly $42,278,250) United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Remember Me older $29.99 11,128 83% 334k $10M (exactly $10,011,862) DONTNOD Entertainment
Marc Eckō's Getting Up: Contents Under Pressure older $14.99 2,302 89% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,035,209) The Collective, General Arcade
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
Double Dragon Revive $34.99 157 63% 4.7k $165k (exactly $164,803) YUKE’S
Lugaru HD older $9.99 356 83% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) Wolfire Games
Knock'Em Out $7.99 239 85% 7.2k $57k (exactly $57,288) BBear Studio
SpeedOverflow older $4.99 116 72% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) 狼烟
Deadbeat Heroes older $14.99 16 75% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Upstream Arcade
GUN.DOG.REVENGE $4.00 18 100% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,160) MEWSTURBO
Rockoon $3.00 5 100% 150 $450 (exactly $450) Rockoon Team
Last Stretch $0.99 11 100% 330 $327 (exactly $327) Team Zandt
Forgotten spirit $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BurningGRP
Crabs: Chef's Story · EA $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 3 Guns Ltd
Island Wayfinder $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) mr.valik
Fly High Runners $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Lavibus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.