Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Parkour game?

Parkour + Science

Only 7 developers shipped a Science Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Not Sure About That, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 9 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Parkour + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,377)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 25
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 16,470 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $300, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing older $19.99 13,633 95% 409k $8.2M (exactly $8,175,710) LuGus Studios
The Enjenir: The Engineering Physics Building Simulator · EA older $14.99 681 91% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) PeatyTurf
Boson X older $4.99 1,327 93% 40k $199k (exactly $198,652) Ian MacLarty, Jon Kerney
Inertia older $0.99 656 82% 20k $19k (exactly $19,483) Loneminded
Not Sure About That $4.99 76 98% 2.3k $11k (exactly $11,377) Scratch
Area 86 older $9.99 23 73% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) SimDevs
DVR Simulator older $14.99 14 42% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Demonixis Games
Vectromirror™ older $7.99 26 69% 780 $6.2k (exactly $6,232) The Vectromirror Initiative
Malevolent Madness $9.99 19 89% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) NEBULA NOVA GAMES
SPACE TOW TRUCK - ISAAC NEWTON's Favorite Puzzle Game older $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Eric Laflamme
Cubin $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Limsod Games
Cubin II $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Limsod Games
Gooey $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Turbo Pixel
Crop Crusaders $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Hobgoblin Games
Gallium · EA $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Overseeing Industries
Axiomatik $17.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) J&J

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.