Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + 2D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Fighter Parkour game?

Parkour + 2D Fighter

Only 12 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Oblin Party, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + 2D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $505 → $269 → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + 2D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,374)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 33
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, 2D Fighter
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 146 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $270, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SpiderHeck older $14.99 3,922 93% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) Neverjam
Happenlance older $19.99 39 92% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Miles Fogle, Phillip Trudeau-Tavara, Cy… (Miles Fogle, Phillip Trudeau-Tavara, Cyborg Primate)
Oblin Party $7.99 85 91% 2.6k $20k (exactly $20,374) Tellus Games
Battle Squares $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Feesh Studio
Fruits Vs Veggies $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Ishbull Studios
Island Bender · EA older $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Island Bender Games
Miwa: The Sacred Fox older $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Baki Studio
Kinetic: Break All Limits · EA older $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Break All Limits LLC
Boiiing Boiiing $6.99 5 100% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) SLMB's Games
Kill Dee $0.99 17 82% 510 $505 (exactly $505) BYE BYE, BUYBYEGames
JumpKin $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Umut KAYA, Volkan USUĞLU, Emrah TORTUK
Jump Verse $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Vertex Vienna Studio
OLYMPUSAN $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) FORCE_development
Blobbymite: Hero Of Power $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) BlobbymiteGames
Fiestag $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Fiestag Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.