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Should I ship a Choices Matter Parkour game?
Parkour + Choices Matter
Of 28 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×164 the market median. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $11,377) |
| Top 5% | $103k (exactly $102,981) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Parkour
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Choices Matter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Atmospheric, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 13,297 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M 
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M 
Star Wars Outlaws 2024 · $26M 
Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ 2017 · $8.8M 
Rocket Boots Mania 2025 · $103k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Odyssey | older | $59.99 | 172,149 89% | 5.2M | $310M (exactly $309,816,555) | Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai) |
| | Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition | older | $59.99 | 164,914 79% | 4.9M | $297M (exactly $296,795,726) | Techland |
| | Star Wars Outlaws | $69.99 | 12,268 71% | 368k | $26M (exactly $25,759,120) | Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio | |
| | Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ | older | $29.99 | 9,801 86% | 294k | $8.8M (exactly $8,817,960) | Arkane Studios |
| | Rocket Boots Mania | $14.99 | 229 99% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Luma Play | |
 | The Siege and the Sandfox | $14.99 | 180 64% | 5.4k | $81k (exactly $80,946) | Cardboard Sword | |
 | Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game | $9.99 | 220 96% | 6.6k | $66k (exactly $65,934) | DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC | |
 | Single By Choice | older | $7.99 | 231 90% | 6.9k | $55k (exactly $55,371) | AIROTS, 非魚創意 |
 | Turnip Mountain | $10.49 | 78 97% | 2.3k | $25k (exactly $24,547) | Luke Sanderson | |
 | Unicycle Pizza Time! | older | $4.99 | 145 78% | 4.4k | $22k (exactly $21,706) | BiteMe Games |
 | Stretcher Together | $4.99 | 116 47% | 3.5k | $17k (exactly $17,365) | Goosix Games | |
 | Not Sure About That | $4.99 | 76 98% | 2.3k | $11k (exactly $11,377) | Scratch | |
 | Free For Fall | $7.99 | 44 81% | 1.3k | $11k (exactly $10,547) | Baboon Digital, Hamuno | |
 | Handstand Hank | $4.99 | 65 95% | 2.0k | $9.7k (exactly $9,730) | Michael Fischer | |
 | Theanthria | · EA | $4.99 | 21 71% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | HectoCacto |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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