Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Parkour game?

Parkour + Cyberpunk

Of 31 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $260, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 96 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 525% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 525% on the market, 96 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $1.4k → $3.3k → $179 → $599 → $258 → $240 (still earning) → $3.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $258 (exactly $258)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 5% $407k (exactly $406,698)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 126
Announced 96
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 525% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 2,043 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $260, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ older $19.99 31,195 87% 936k $19M (exactly $18,707,642) DICE
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Remember Me older $29.99 11,128 83% 334k $10M (exactly $10,011,862) DONTNOD Entertainment
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Severed Steel older $24.99 8,880 95% 266k $6.7M (exactly $6,657,336) Greylock Studio
Seven: Enhanced Edition older $29.99 1,429 76% 43k $1.3M (exactly $1,285,671) IMGN.PRO, Fool's Theory
Hover older $19.99 1,536 81% 46k $921k (exactly $921,139) Midgar Studio, Fusty Game
DeadCore older $9.99 1,584 85% 48k $475k (exactly $474,725) 5 Bits Games
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Steel Seed $39.99 339 78% 10k $407k (exactly $406,698) Storm in a Teacup
CYBERMATRIX $12.00 127 89% 3.8k $46k (exactly $45,720) Tim Murich
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
Ticking Together $4.99 37 97% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Furkan Baytak, Furkan Özkaya
CYBERSLAYER: No Time to Regret $4.99 25 92% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) KAEV Games
Echobreaker $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Upstream Arcade
Mechanical Fury - Prologue $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Avian Hearts
UNPLUG - The Game · EA $10.99 5 100% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) GoldLime Studios
DuaLight $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) RedWineGames Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.