Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Parkour game?

Parkour + Supernatural

Only 8 developers shipped a Supernatural Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Malevolent Madness, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 17 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Parkour + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,497)
Top 5% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 26
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 43,117 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $360, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $5.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dishonored 2 older $29.99 42,988 90% 1.3M $39M (exactly $38,676,304) Arkane Studios
Terres · EA older $9.99 29 89% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) ingamemechanics
Cat Saves Halloween older $7.99 33 93% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) LetMeowt Games LLC
Malevolent Madness $9.99 19 89% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) NEBULA NOVA GAMES
Hell Runner $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Moonlight Studio
IDIOTIC (The Game) older $9.99 15 80% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Emanuel N.M
Vribyss Refuge™ Metamorphosis $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Ernesto Aragon
Disaster Island older $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) InVisual
Up to Gods older $1.99 7 71% 210 $418 (exactly $418) Kebabos
Super Bora Dragon Eyes older $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) celikgames
Air Master HANEMARU $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) SE.EED CO.,LTD
After The Afterlife $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) BugBit Studio
ONLYUP SNOW $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Gever Games
The Wind's Path $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Endless Project Games
ELEMENTAL RUN $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ares

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.