Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Parkour game?

Parkour + Nature

Of 58 developers who shipped a Nature Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 36 developers shipped in the last year and 83 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 83 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $330 → $2.1k → $1.9k → $358 → $732 → $300 → $2.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $99k (exactly $98,802)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 148
Announced 83
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Physics, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,474 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. Nearly all of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M Jusant 2023 · $3.1M Submerged 2015 · $2.6M Peaks of Yore 2023 · $2.0M SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding 2025 · $331k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
Jusant older $24.99 4,123 93% 124k $3.1M (exactly $3,091,013) DON'T NOD
Submerged older $19.99 4,328 75% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,595,502) Uppercut Games Pty Ltd
Peaks of Yore older $18.99 3,587 97% 108k $2.0M (exactly $2,043,514) Anders Grube Jensen
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
BETON BRUTAL older $6.99 1,232 94% 37k $258k (exactly $258,350) Jan Malitschek
New Heights: Realistic Climbing and Bouldering $21.99 248 89% 7.4k $164k (exactly $163,606) Wikkl Works
Log Riders $4.99 660 70% 20k $99k (exactly $98,802) Bluespy Studios
Clockwork Ambrosia $19.99 133 84% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) Realmsoft
Valley Peaks older $14.99 175 97% 5.3k $79k (exactly $78,698) Tub Club
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
Galumb $7.99 148 28% 4.4k $35k (exactly $35,476) OB
Umami Grove $19.99 42 92% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) Pomshine Games
Smack Monkey $9.99 32 100% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) DrDrub
Don't Pop The Balloon $4.99 57 98% 1.7k $8.5k (exactly $8,533) Emirhan ÇAT, Bedirhan ÇAT
ACRODRIFT: FPV Drone Simulator · EA $14.99 14 85% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dueking Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.