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Should I ship a Parkour Sandbox?
Parkour + Sandbox
Of 32 developers who shipped a Parkour Sandbox in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1627 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 68 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) |
| Top 5% | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 32 |
| Released games | 114 |
| Announced | 68 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Sandbox; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 4,469 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016 · $143M 
Human Fall Flat 2016 · $105M 
Just Cause™ 3 2015 · $62M 
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014 · $42M 
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014 · $38M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Watch_Dogs® 2 | older | $49.99 | 95,242 82% | 2.9M | $143M (exactly $142,834,427) | Ubisoft |
| | Human Fall Flat | older | $19.99 | 174,835 94% | 5.2M | $105M (exactly $104,848,549) | No Brakes Games |
| | Just Cause™ 3 | older | $19.99 | 104,140 85% | 3.1M | $62M (exactly $62,452,758) | Avalanche Studios |
| | Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 70,499 94% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $42,278,250) | United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
| | Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ | older | $19.99 | 63,815 92% | 1.9M | $38M (exactly $38,269,856) | Monolith Productions |
 | Assassin's Creed 2 | older | $19.99 | 57,661 89% | 1.7M | $35M (exactly $34,579,302) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | BONEWORKS | older | $29.99 | 34,141 92% | 1.0M | $31M (exactly $30,716,658) | Stress Level Zero |
 | Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood | older | $19.99 | 24,958 88% | 749k | $15M (exactly $14,967,313) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Prototype 2 | older | $39.99 | 10,389 75% | 312k | $12M (exactly $12,463,683) | Radical Entertainment |
 | Assassin's Creed® Revelations | older | $19.99 | 19,244 83% | 577k | $12M (exactly $11,540,627) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | STORROR Parkour Pro | · EA | $24.99 | 1,605 71% | 48k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,268) | Hole in the Sleeve Game Studios |
 | Killer Bean | · EA | $14.99 | 2,272 73% | 68k | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) | Killer Bean Studios LLC |
 | Rocket Boots Mania | $14.99 | 229 99% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Luma Play | |
 | Human Fall Flat VR | $12.99 | 128 47% | 3.8k | $50k (exactly $49,882) | No Brakes Games | |
 | Jumping Jazz Cats | $8.99 | 148 74% | 4.4k | $40k (exactly $39,916) | Le Catnip Collective | |
 | CROW | $9.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Uniday Studio | |
 | Bambas! | $14.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | DevilishGames | |
 | Theanthria | · EA | $4.99 | 21 71% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | HectoCacto |
 | Secrets of Antares | · EA | $9.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | FeelFree |
 | Dadlympics | · EA | $3.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $1.7k (exactly $1,676) | Gooby Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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