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Should I ship a Magic Parkour game?
Parkour + Magic
Only 15 developers shipped a Magic Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kristala, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 55 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper, while revenue is up 975% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) |
| Top 5% | $582k (exactly $581,854) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 72 |
| Announced | 55 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 975% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 559 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Dishonored 2 2016 · $39M 
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014 · $38M 
Forspoken 2023 · $11M 
Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ 2017 · $8.8M 
Styx: Master of Shadows 2014 · $5.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dishonored 2 | older | $29.99 | 42,988 90% | 1.3M | $39M (exactly $38,676,304) | Arkane Studios |
| | Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ | older | $19.99 | 63,815 92% | 1.9M | $38M (exactly $38,269,856) | Monolith Productions |
| | Forspoken | older | $69.99 | 5,384 64% | 162k | $11M (exactly $11,304,785) | Square Enix |
| | Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ | older | $29.99 | 9,801 86% | 294k | $8.8M (exactly $8,817,960) | Arkane Studios |
| | Styx: Master of Shadows | older | $19.99 | 9,654 83% | 290k | $5.8M (exactly $5,789,504) | Cyanide Studio |
 | Pseudoregalia | older | $5.99 | 16,978 96% | 509k | $3.1M (exactly $3,050,947) | rittzler |
 | Valley | older | $14.99 | 6,276 91% | 188k | $2.8M (exactly $2,822,317) | Blue Isle Studios |
 | Kristala | $39.99 | 485 71% | 15k | $582k (exactly $581,854) | Astral Clocktower Studios | |
 | Skelattack | older | $19.99 | 109 59% | 3.3k | $65k (exactly $65,367) | Ukuza, Inc. |
 | Cat Gets Medieval | older | $9.99 | 98 93% | 2.9k | $29k (exactly $29,371) | LetMeowt Games LLC |
 | Sandloop | $12.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $7.8k (exactly $7,794) | Yoku Games | |
 | Zerun: The Tiny Planet | $7.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | Mirakar Studio, CINEMAX GAMES | |
 | Zorro and Zedd | $7.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | Cloud Control Games | |
 | The Light of Celestia | $9.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Rivox Games | |
 | Aralunis | $5.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Nezashiron Games | |
 | DitherDream | $1.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $716 (exactly $716) | TOMORROWFOREVER.NOW | |
 | You Are Speed | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Emanuel N.M | |
 | The Wind's Path | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Endless Project Games | |
 | The Goblin Game | · EA | $2.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | HALKO Digital |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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