Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Parkour game?

Parkour + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 10 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Reach, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $891 → $1.7k
Outcomes for Parkour + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $220k (exactly $219,527)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 28
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 83% positive over 769 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
BLACKSHARD $14.99 432 91% 13k $194k (exactly $194,270) Redlock Studio, Enclave
CROW $9.99 27 85% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Uniday Studio
Area 86 older $9.99 23 73% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) SimDevs
Dino running from a FURRY: GAMESFORFARM $2.99 21 100% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Just Climb $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Naytics
Banana Ragdoll $0.99 30 93% 900 $891 (exactly $891) Banana Team
Psychological Operation older $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Johnson Studios
Lockdown Hero older $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Brick Geek Games
Exit Plan $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Iris Interactive
Air Dash: Sky Racing Simulator $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JOKER BROTHERS
Only Jump On Pogo $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chewie Games
Hold On: The Delivery for the Goose $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) dehai

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.