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Should I ship a Fantasy Parkour game?
Parkour + Fantasy
Of 74 developers who shipped a Fantasy Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 37 developers shipped in the last year and 144 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,888) |
| Top 5% | $272k (exactly $271,664) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 74 |
| Released games | 238 |
| Announced | 144 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, 3D Platformer
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,113 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 44 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014 · $38M 
Darksiders II Deathinitive Edition 2015 · $15M 
Forspoken 2023 · $11M 
Thief 2014 · $10M 
Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ 2017 · $8.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ | older | $19.99 | 63,815 92% | 1.9M | $38M (exactly $38,269,856) | Monolith Productions |
| | Darksiders II Deathinitive Edition | older | $29.99 | 16,313 78% | 489k | $15M (exactly $14,676,806) | Gunfire Games, Vigil Games, THQ Nordic |
| | Forspoken | older | $69.99 | 5,384 64% | 162k | $11M (exactly $11,304,785) | Square Enix |
| | Thief | older | $19.99 | 17,389 75% | 522k | $10M (exactly $10,428,183) | Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac) |
| | Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™ | older | $29.99 | 9,801 86% | 294k | $8.8M (exactly $8,817,960) | Arkane Studios |
 | Styx: Master of Shadows | older | $19.99 | 9,654 83% | 290k | $5.8M (exactly $5,789,504) | Cyanide Studio |
 | A Story About My Uncle | older | $14.99 | 12,174 92% | 365k | $5.5M (exactly $5,474,648) | Gone North Games |
 | Sonic Lost World | older | $29.99 | 4,136 64% | 124k | $3.7M (exactly $3,721,159) | Sonic Team |
 | Jusant | older | $24.99 | 4,123 93% | 124k | $3.1M (exactly $3,091,013) | DON'T NOD |
 | Pseudoregalia | older | $5.99 | 16,978 96% | 509k | $3.1M (exactly $3,050,947) | rittzler |
 | Styx: Blades of Greed | $39.99 | 782 66% | 23k | $938k (exactly $938,165) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | Kristala | $39.99 | 485 71% | 15k | $582k (exactly $581,854) | Astral Clocktower Studios | |
 | Idols of Ash | $2.99 | 3,352 97% | 101k | $301k (exactly $300,674) | Leafy Games | |
 | Big Hops Together | $19.99 | 453 89% | 14k | $272k (exactly $271,664) | Luckshot Games | |
 | Pih 2 | $9.99 | 384 92% | 12k | $115k (exactly $115,085) | BecomeANobody | |
 | The Siege and the Sandfox | $14.99 | 180 64% | 5.4k | $81k (exactly $80,946) | Cardboard Sword | |
 | Valkyrie Saga | $7.99 | 288 92% | 8.6k | $69k (exactly $69,034) | Public Void | |
 | Unnamed Pogo Game | $6.99 | 127 85% | 3.8k | $27k (exactly $26,632) | Unnamed Games | |
 | Umami Grove | $19.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | Pomshine Games | |
 | Sandloop | $12.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $7.8k (exactly $7,794) | Yoku Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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